Post by Pete on Jul 25, 2009 15:11:58 GMT -5
Ok, lets think positive here, this is the last exile and none of us are going anywhere....its time for us to seriously play this game and get one of Levi or Kirsten gone.
On paper this shouldnt be too hard but we have Jenya 'queen of instantenous backtracking' to worry about. As long as she doesnt make a serious push for either of us we should be fine.
As long as Kirsten and Levi vote each other then the game is in the bag, but, who knows....things could change at any point.
This is a constantly updating report....
Contents:
I. Vote Count of Citizens
II. Vote Count of Spies
III. Hidden Information
IV. Current Plans or Ideas to trap Citizens
V. Plans of others to trap us
As such, Jason, this is our main thread for talking about this exile, I would like the majority of it to go here for easy referance and for discussing ideas....weve spoken quite a bit recently (despite me being on holiday ) on how we need to approach this, but, plans can change....
I. Vote Count of Citizens
Vote Count as of now (assuming the citizens are telling the truth in the burg - likelihood = 50%)
Levi - 1 (Kirsten)
Kirsten - 1 (Levi)
Unknown: Jenya
II. Vote Count of Spies
I would like to know where your vote is meant to be at any given time, and I will tell you mine (thing is, I dont know mine yet but when I do...etc) Please also give reasoning and state who you have told your ideas to.
III. Hidden Information
Ok, so, here is the information that we the spies know: [parenthesis mean that one or two of us are not meant to know that bit of information at this point]
(Secret from Pete) Kirsten, Levi and possibly Jenya are all considering Pete as their number two suspect, but with very little information on him, they are reluctant to vote for him yet. They are more sure of the other suspect to vote for him unless he makes a big play to save one of the suspects.
IV. Current Plans or Ideas to trap Citizens
An idea I have had running in my head for a little while (believe you me it was a long car ride back to home) was that reminding Jenya of the talk me and her had on Boris where I had deliberately acted a bit 'off'. Her bringing it up again, only for me to then reply with 'Actually Jenya, I did know of Boris post against me and I did read it, the proof of which is in a conversation I had with Levi, oh whoops actually, I dont have a record of that conversation, Levi, do you? It would really back up my point if you could show Jenya that conversation' With any luck, Levi's suspicions of me will make him say 'Actually I dont have that conversation' or even 'That conversation doesnt exist'....Thing is, I very slyly put it into the conversation with Levi (not that I had planned this from the beginning, I just happened to do that just in case I needed to pull Boris' suspicions out of nowhere) so he might not even remember it....All I have to do, is just take out the conversation (which I in fact DO have) and he will look bad.
Now, this is very risky, and has not as much reward as I would like, but it does make me look more like a citizen in some senses....the only thing I am worried about is that Jenya getting hold of that conversation and pulling it apart like she usually does...I dont think I said anything bad in there but, who knows, maybe I contradicted myself? Maybe.
Plan Success: 4/10
Plan Risk: 8/10
Likelihood of Doing: 3/10
V. Plans of others to trap us
This is just a 'what is Jenya up to at the moment', only with a more broader name, but we know what it really means. Kepe me updated as much as possible, and should somehow someone want to try and trap you, I will let you know too.
On paper this shouldnt be too hard but we have Jenya 'queen of instantenous backtracking' to worry about. As long as she doesnt make a serious push for either of us we should be fine.
As long as Kirsten and Levi vote each other then the game is in the bag, but, who knows....things could change at any point.
This is a constantly updating report....
Contents:
I. Vote Count of Citizens
II. Vote Count of Spies
III. Hidden Information
IV. Current Plans or Ideas to trap Citizens
V. Plans of others to trap us
As such, Jason, this is our main thread for talking about this exile, I would like the majority of it to go here for easy referance and for discussing ideas....weve spoken quite a bit recently (despite me being on holiday ) on how we need to approach this, but, plans can change....
I. Vote Count of Citizens
Vote Count as of now (assuming the citizens are telling the truth in the burg - likelihood = 50%)
Levi - 1 (Kirsten)
Kirsten - 1 (Levi)
Unknown: Jenya
II. Vote Count of Spies
I would like to know where your vote is meant to be at any given time, and I will tell you mine (thing is, I dont know mine yet but when I do...etc) Please also give reasoning and state who you have told your ideas to.
III. Hidden Information
Ok, so, here is the information that we the spies know: [parenthesis mean that one or two of us are not meant to know that bit of information at this point]
(Secret from Pete) Kirsten, Levi and possibly Jenya are all considering Pete as their number two suspect, but with very little information on him, they are reluctant to vote for him yet. They are more sure of the other suspect to vote for him unless he makes a big play to save one of the suspects.
IV. Current Plans or Ideas to trap Citizens
An idea I have had running in my head for a little while (believe you me it was a long car ride back to home) was that reminding Jenya of the talk me and her had on Boris where I had deliberately acted a bit 'off'. Her bringing it up again, only for me to then reply with 'Actually Jenya, I did know of Boris post against me and I did read it, the proof of which is in a conversation I had with Levi, oh whoops actually, I dont have a record of that conversation, Levi, do you? It would really back up my point if you could show Jenya that conversation' With any luck, Levi's suspicions of me will make him say 'Actually I dont have that conversation' or even 'That conversation doesnt exist'....Thing is, I very slyly put it into the conversation with Levi (not that I had planned this from the beginning, I just happened to do that just in case I needed to pull Boris' suspicions out of nowhere) so he might not even remember it....All I have to do, is just take out the conversation (which I in fact DO have) and he will look bad.
Now, this is very risky, and has not as much reward as I would like, but it does make me look more like a citizen in some senses....the only thing I am worried about is that Jenya getting hold of that conversation and pulling it apart like she usually does...I dont think I said anything bad in there but, who knows, maybe I contradicted myself? Maybe.
Plan Success: 4/10
Plan Risk: 8/10
Likelihood of Doing: 3/10
V. Plans of others to trap us
This is just a 'what is Jenya up to at the moment', only with a more broader name, but we know what it really means. Kepe me updated as much as possible, and should somehow someone want to try and trap you, I will let you know too.